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Reddit mentions of Bayes' Rule: A Tutorial Introduction to Bayesian Analysis
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Reddit mentions: 3
We found 3 Reddit mentions of Bayes' Rule: A Tutorial Introduction to Bayesian Analysis. Here are the top ones.
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Sure! I have a lot of resources on this subject. Before I recommend it, let me very quickly explain why it is useful.
Bayes Rule basically means creating a new hypothesis or belief based on a novel event using prior hypothesis/data. So I am sure you can already see how useful it would be in medicine to think about. The Rule(or technically theorem) is in fact an entire field of statisitcs and basically is one of the core parts of probability theory.
Bayes Rule explains why you shouldn't trust sensitivity and specificity as much as you think. It would take too long to explain here but if you look up Bayes' Theorem on wikipedia one of the first examples is about how despite a drug having 99% sensitivity and specificity, even if a user tests positive for a drug, they are in fact more likely to not be taking the drug at all.
Ok, now book recommendations:
Basic: https://www.amazon.com/Bayes-Theorem-Examples-Introduction-Beginners-ebook/dp/B01LZ1T9IX/ref=sr_1_2?ie=UTF8&qid=1510402907&sr=8-2&keywords=bayesian+statistics
https://www.amazon.com/Bayes-Rule-Tutorial-Introduction-Bayesian/dp/0956372848/ref=sr_1_6?ie=UTF8&qid=1510402907&sr=8-6&keywords=bayesian+statistics
Intermediate/Advanced: Only read if you know calculus and linear algebra, otherwise not worth it. That said, these books are extremely good and are a thorough intro compared to the first ones.
https://www.amazon.com/Bayesian-Analysis-Chapman-Statistical-Science/dp/1439840954/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1510402907&sr=8-1&keywords=bayesian+statistics
https://www.amazon.com/Introduction-Probability-Chapman-Statistical-Science/dp/1466575573/ref=sr_1_12?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1510403749&sr=1-12&keywords=probability
Beginner Resources: These are fantastic places to start for true beginners.
Introduction to Probability is an oldie but a goodie. This is a basic book about probability that is suited for the absolute beginner. Its written in an older style of english, but other than that it is a great place to start.
Bayes Rule is a really simple, really basic book that shows only the most basic ideas of bayesian stats. If you are completely unfamiliar with stats but have a basic understanding of probability, this book is pretty good.
A Modern Approach to Regression with R is a great first resource for someone who understands a little about probability but wants to learn more about the details of data analysis.
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Advanced resources: These are comprehensive, quality, and what I used for a stats MS.
Statistical Inference by Casella and Berger (2nd ed) is a classic text on maximum likelihood, probability, sufficiency, large sample properties, etc. Its what I used for all of my graduate probability and inference classes. Its not really beginner friendly and sometimes goes into too much detail, but its a really high quality resource.
Bayesian Data Analysis (3rd ed) is a really nice resource/reference for bayesian analysis. It isn't a "cuddle up by a fire" type of book since it is really detailed, but almost any topic in bayesian analysis will be there. Although its not needed, a good grasp on topics in the first book will greatly enhance the reading experience.
I have this one:
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0956372848/ref=pd_luc_rh_bxgy_01_02_t_lh?ie=UTF8&psc=1
Haven't read it yet, but thumbed through it quickly. It looked solid.
I also have Efron's book, also have not read it yet, but given how awesome the Bootstrap is, anything penned by Efron/Tibshirani is going to get in my collection.